Mary Katherine Ham:
"An interesting note about the poll's methodology:
A significant number of the interviews were conducted by dialing a randomly selected sample of cell phone numbers, and thus this poll had a chance to reach voters who were excluded from some other polls.
Cell-phone users are supposed to be left-leaning demographic historically missed by pollsters (though the vast unpolled cellular herd has never been vast enough to change the game on Election Day). Why would McCain be gaining in a poll with cell-phone users included, and if he is, isn't it exceedingly promising for the Republican candidate that the numbers are this close? Perhaps they're polling a disproportionate number of 'push-to-talk' Nextel users (read: Joe the Plumber and Tito the Construction Worker) and undersampling Sidekick users."
The LSM is looking for a landslide just as the media did in 1948. People went to bed with the idea that Dewey had been elected. They were awakened the next morning to headlines and early news that Truman had won.
ReplyDeletePolls don't give a true picture , never have and in this election they are more skewed than ever.
One of the left leaning pollsters called my house the other evening and began with a line of questions so slanted that it would have made the room look off kilter. After the third question I asked if they really thought that all people were so stupid as to answer slanted questions. I got silence and then I said now ask the next question and I will tell you how to ask it again and how to record the answer. CLICK. That was the response. Guess the pollster didn't expect to run into any folks with intelligence in Corinth ,Texas. I wondered after the CLICK if the poor pollster recored my answers the way he expected the others to do or if they just pitched it aside. My guess is they answered the questions in the way they were told they should be.