Noteworthy:
"The dire warnings of global warming of five years ago are now admitted to be exaggerated, by the very people who issued the warning"
"Perhaps the most convincing sign that even the scientific scaremongers are not confident in their own predictions is their unwillingness to allow dissent and seriously argue with well-informed opponents. Instead, they impugn motivations, and tell journalists and the public that a “consensus” exists, which is not true."
Perhaps.
ReplyDeleteHowever, this is the most important point:
"The mismatch between the data and the model predictions, however, raises serious questions on the ability of the multi-decadal global climate models to accurately predict even the global average variability and long term trend of the radiative imbalance of the climate system."
Follow the link trail here.
ReplyDeleteFor the first time, scientists are confident enough to project a 3C rise on the average global daily temperature by the end of this century if no action is taken to cut greenhouse gas emissions.
The report projects a rise in sea levels by century's end of between 14cm and 43cm, with further rises expected in following centuries caused by melting polar ice.
The new projections forecast damage by global warming, such as stronger cyclones, modest sea-level rises and further shrinking of the arctic sea ice.
CSIRO research predicts the biggest impact of sea-level changes of this scale would be to increase the effect of storm surges, particularly on Australia's tropical northern coastline.
The forecast temperature rises would also result in lower rainfall over most of the Australian mainland and exacerbate the threat to the survival of coral reefs and shellfish by increasing the risk of bleaching and increasing the acidity of the ocean.
I've cautioned on the difficulties of climate modeling, but that does not mean that there is no value in the modeling.
Peer-reviewed scientific journals are the tested place for research publication. Very little of the global warming criticism is in those journals.
And it's too bad that there is little we can do about any of those conditions you mentioned, Jim.
ReplyDeleteThe ice doesn't lie. I use the glaciers as my sign that something bad is happening and the melt in Greenland is now back to the level created 10,000 years ago. This article is also significant. http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20060904/sc_nm/science_co2_dc_2 Brenda Bowers
ReplyDeleteEvidently President Bush now thinks Global Warming is bad enough that something needs to be done about it. Whether this is an election year ploy or he has done a 180 degree about face makes no difference. The official Bush Administration position will now be to address the problem instead of denying it like Bubba and Jaycee have been doing for the past 5 years.
ReplyDelete